There is a lot of mystique about foreign exchange trading. And probably rightly so too, it is after all one of the riskiest financial markets you can trade. In this article, we will take you through the reasons this market is so risky and hopefully to some extent, take the mystery out of the market.
To start, what does it mean to trade in Foreign Exchange markets? How does the process work and what do you use? Well, you use the different types of monetary units from around the world. Investors purchase money, or currency, from a country by selling the currency of another country. The transaction is so common and widespread that international business is impossible without it. You, too, have traded in the foreign exchange market, whether are aware of it or not.
Maybe it was on your last vacation; maybe you went to Rome on business, changing some money for a night on the town. Even if you used a traveler's cheque or swiped a credit card, you aren't operating with your native currency if you are in a foreign country. Welcome to the exchange market, which you've already played.
An example of indirect participation is when you buy imported products in your home country. Products made overseas are usually sold in the currency of the country they were made. When they are sold in a country which is different to the one where they were produced, at some stage someone will need to make a foreign exchange transaction, translating the price of the product from the currency where the product was produced, to the currency where the product was consumed. It could be the producer, an importing company or the retailer that does this. Regardless, when you buy imported products, the currency translation will have occurred and therefore you have indirectly participated in a foreign currency transaction.
Why do the value of particular currencies change? The basic reason why the price of a currency changes is simple, its supply and demand. When there are more people who want to buy a specific currency than there are people who want to sell it, the price goes up. (Ie. those who want to buy, will offer a higher price to attract more sellers into the market.) Conversely, When there are more people who want to sell a specific currency than there are people who want to buy it, the price goes down. (Ie. those who want to sell will offer a lower price to attract more buyers into the market.) Thats the simple answer.
The really tough question though is what makes supply and demand change? This is the 1 question which makes trading in the FX market so difficult. Basically, no-one knows exactly what all the factors are that cause supply and demand to change in these markets. Many traders have a good idea of the major influences, but there are so many things which impact currencies that it is nigh on impossible to formularise the exact reasons currencies change price.
Currency prices are a measure of a countries "economic value" as compared against another countries "economic value". If you think about the myriad of factors which impact people's perceptions of the economy of the country you live in, you can start to understand why predicting FX price movements is difficult.
But your countries economy is only half the equation. We are not measuring the value of your economy alone, rather comparing it against the economy of a different country. Therefore, even if you have a really good understanding of your own economy, you need the same understanding of the other country's economy also.
Beyond these concerns, you'll have to gauge the economy and currency of the two countries in the scheme of the world economy. To determine if one country's currency will become more valuable over time, you need a lot of information and considerable foresight, as this is a complex equation.
Once you've completed your research and are ready to make some exchanges, you're also subject to the whims of the world itself. With a consumer crisis or confidence slipping due to the bad performance of central banks, you may see a currency shift you never expected. Fundamental traders who are weighing all the factors mix with the traders called technical traders, who mainly crunch numbers.
Some investors will buy currencies with long-range goals in mind. With a big investment in currencies, they use it to support other ventures, which also has an effect on the currency's value.
Then there are Foreign Exchange Trading Strategies which don't need to predict if a currency is going to go up or down. It doesn't matter which way the traded currencies move, they make small incremental profits in both directions.
Getting a handle on the FX Markets is never a simple matter, and hopefully this explanation has helped.
To start, what does it mean to trade in Foreign Exchange markets? How does the process work and what do you use? Well, you use the different types of monetary units from around the world. Investors purchase money, or currency, from a country by selling the currency of another country. The transaction is so common and widespread that international business is impossible without it. You, too, have traded in the foreign exchange market, whether are aware of it or not.
Maybe it was on your last vacation; maybe you went to Rome on business, changing some money for a night on the town. Even if you used a traveler's cheque or swiped a credit card, you aren't operating with your native currency if you are in a foreign country. Welcome to the exchange market, which you've already played.
An example of indirect participation is when you buy imported products in your home country. Products made overseas are usually sold in the currency of the country they were made. When they are sold in a country which is different to the one where they were produced, at some stage someone will need to make a foreign exchange transaction, translating the price of the product from the currency where the product was produced, to the currency where the product was consumed. It could be the producer, an importing company or the retailer that does this. Regardless, when you buy imported products, the currency translation will have occurred and therefore you have indirectly participated in a foreign currency transaction.
Why do the value of particular currencies change? The basic reason why the price of a currency changes is simple, its supply and demand. When there are more people who want to buy a specific currency than there are people who want to sell it, the price goes up. (Ie. those who want to buy, will offer a higher price to attract more sellers into the market.) Conversely, When there are more people who want to sell a specific currency than there are people who want to buy it, the price goes down. (Ie. those who want to sell will offer a lower price to attract more buyers into the market.) Thats the simple answer.
The really tough question though is what makes supply and demand change? This is the 1 question which makes trading in the FX market so difficult. Basically, no-one knows exactly what all the factors are that cause supply and demand to change in these markets. Many traders have a good idea of the major influences, but there are so many things which impact currencies that it is nigh on impossible to formularise the exact reasons currencies change price.
Currency prices are a measure of a countries "economic value" as compared against another countries "economic value". If you think about the myriad of factors which impact people's perceptions of the economy of the country you live in, you can start to understand why predicting FX price movements is difficult.
But your countries economy is only half the equation. We are not measuring the value of your economy alone, rather comparing it against the economy of a different country. Therefore, even if you have a really good understanding of your own economy, you need the same understanding of the other country's economy also.
Beyond these concerns, you'll have to gauge the economy and currency of the two countries in the scheme of the world economy. To determine if one country's currency will become more valuable over time, you need a lot of information and considerable foresight, as this is a complex equation.
Once you've completed your research and are ready to make some exchanges, you're also subject to the whims of the world itself. With a consumer crisis or confidence slipping due to the bad performance of central banks, you may see a currency shift you never expected. Fundamental traders who are weighing all the factors mix with the traders called technical traders, who mainly crunch numbers.
Some investors will buy currencies with long-range goals in mind. With a big investment in currencies, they use it to support other ventures, which also has an effect on the currency's value.
Then there are Foreign Exchange Trading Strategies which don't need to predict if a currency is going to go up or down. It doesn't matter which way the traded currencies move, they make small incremental profits in both directions.
Getting a handle on the FX Markets is never a simple matter, and hopefully this explanation has helped.
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